Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 68.039876 76.880610 85.922923 95.830164 106.347982 117.151186 129.056608
2025-11-02 54.468453 67.150666 80.714034 96.163504 113.146424 131.131284 151.505332
2025-11-09 45.584447 60.224681 76.428286 95.413008 116.790366 139.891385 166.525539
2025-11-16 39.258051 55.288688 73.586067 95.548913 120.776384 148.482975 180.868201
2025-11-23 33.562240 50.411706 70.233976 94.575224 123.045423 154.765465 192.285492
2025-11-30 29.991296 47.707013 69.102727 95.880962 127.665242 163.483285 206.245044
2025-12-07 27.088510 45.532931 68.365146 97.439672 132.401872 172.193157 220.076880
2025-12-14 23.443936 42.046815 65.736346 96.486174 133.987162 177.118674 229.454594
2025-12-21 19.884707 38.329730 62.548386 94.618461 134.291916 180.401468 236.808156
2025-12-28 18.872274 38.059972 63.730288 98.127246 141.033498 191.199273 252.851106
2026-01-04 17.352985 36.913571 63.656341 99.971884 145.689968 199.494879 265.950777
2026-01-11 15.157220 34.553958 61.810813 99.436292 147.331203 204.138808 274.717773
2026-01-18 13.144513 32.301632 60.011615 98.906125 148.965842 208.796854 283.558518
2026-01-25 11.677160 30.770149 59.118195 99.492538 151.950256 215.053667 294.282597
2026-02-01 9.974736 28.647753 57.251894 98.683099 153.093322 219.019900 302.233389
2026-02-08 8.707386 27.125103 56.154111 98.829628 155.394603 224.355382 311.789484
2026-02-15 7.305527 25.164384 54.286258 97.835833 156.164393 227.764502 318.994928
2026-02-22 6.568020 24.377352 54.135455 99.166832 159.910031 234.819381 330.582323
2026-03-01 5.951728 23.753053 54.190803 100.755144 163.972000 242.256213 342.629531
2026-03-08 4.908682 22.062120 52.476174 99.783542 164.632299 245.433614 349.486210
2026-03-15 3.841924 20.085233 50.173674 97.880120 163.992688 246.936140 354.262157
2026-03-22 3.749025 20.424747 51.671019 101.455738 170.637513 257.579976 370.214567
2026-03-29 3.407566 20.085050 52.010829 103.335089 175.011665 265.368053 382.676720